Last words on baseball: Please, please speed up the game; time-study examines problem

For the better part of October, I pounded on baseball. Hard.

It’s not that I don’t love the game. I do. I just hate the way it is being played now.

Really, it would seem to be an easy fix for baseball: Enforce rules that require batters to stay in the box and demand that pitchers work faster. Simply pick up the pace.

If they played quickly in big games in Babe Ruth’s era, Mickey Mantle’s era, Reggie Jackson’s era, why can’t it be that way in Miguel Cabrera’s era?

I thought I would leave some parting shots from others to show I am hardly alone in this crusade.

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Michael Glicken of Sports Media Monitor was intrigued by my rants about the length of games. Far more proficient in math than me, he took an analytical approach in evaluating the pace of play.

Glicken writes:

Our goal was not to explain every inefficiency that drives games longer (why game six in 1918 only took an hour and 46 minutes for example), it was to determine whether the present postseason games ran longer than “normal,” and get closer to the root causes.

Glicken offers a detailed analysis. Definitely an interesting read.

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Matthew Futterman of the Wall Street Journal did a piece on why kids aren’t watching baseball. I’ve made that observation from my own teenage boys, who only had a passing interest in the World Series. They were much more into college and pro football and the beginning of the NBA season.

Writes Futterman:

The average World Series viewer this year is 54.4 years old, according to Nielsen, the media research firm. The trend line is heading north: The average age was 49.9 in 2009. Kids age 6 to 17 represented just 4.3% of the average audience for the American and National League Championship Series this year, compared with 7.4% a decade ago.

Comparisons with the NFL are pointless. That behemoth of North American sports dominates nearly every demographic. But kids make up a larger segment of the television audiences for the NBA, NHL and even soccer’s English Premier League than they do for baseball.

Kids accounted for 9.4% of the NBA conference finals audience this year, compared with 10.6% a decade ago. They represented 9% of the NHL conference-finals audience in the spring. For Premier League soccer on the NBC Sports Network, kids are accounting for 11% of the audience.

Futterman then writes:

As riveting as the sport can be at its most intense moments, baseball’s primary activities are the pitcher staring at the catcher to decide what to throw and the batter stepping in and out of the batter’s box. It doesn’t have to be that way.

May we suggest two simple rule changes: Once batters step into the box, they shouldn’t be allowed to step out. Otherwise it’s a strike. If no one is on base, pitchers get seven seconds to throw the next pitch. Otherwise it’s a ball.

Wow, what a novel concept.

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Michael Bradley of the National Sports Journalism Center also harped on the time issue.

Baseball can, however, do something about two things that hurt it. First, the sport has become long and, frankly, boring. No matter how much Fox tries to play up the drama that accompanies every pitch of a Series game, there can be no denying the horribly tedious pace of just about every baseball game played. Come October, the tortoise becomes a slug. Game three of the 2013 Series, a 5-4 nine-inning affair, lasted 3:54. That’s absolutely uncalled for. It’s one thing to let a three-hour game wash over you on a balmy summer evening and quite another to endure hours of standing around when the alarm clock is ready to pounce at 6 a.m.

Bradley, though, adds baseball needs to do a better job of marketing its stars.

The magic of baseball doesn’t fire fans’ interests any longer. There has to be more. The NBA doesn’t sell the pick-and-roll or the three-point shot. It sells the people who make those things come to life. And it does that throughout the whole season and then during its draft and free agency. By the time the Finals come around, fans can’t wait to see these heroes on the biggest stage. And just about every team capable of reaching the Finals has stars with whom fans are quite familiar. Baseball does a terrible job with this. As the 2013 playoffs dawned, few fans outside of Pittsburgh, Cleveland and Oakland knew about those team’s top players, and that was 30% of the field. If baseball wants its World Series to be more popular, it must create a culture of stars, the better to rope in casual viewers.

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Joe Lucia of Awful Announcing also picks up on the marketing theme.

That’s why baseball is struggling among kids. It’s not the pace of the game, the length of the game, or the late start times – it’s all about marketing. Joey Votto is one of the best players in baseball, but when was the last time you saw him in a commercial? Chris Sale is the best player in the city of Chicago, one of the largest media markets in the country – but could a non-White Sox fan even pick him out of a lineup? If Andrew McCutchen shaved his head, could he walk into any convenience store in Pittsburgh and buy a candy bar?

Agree, Joe, but it also is pace of the game too. Combination of both.

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Anyway, I wanted to get in a few last shots. I’ll give it a rest for a while, but you can be sure I’ll be firing away again next October.

 

 

Cubs news: Moreland departs as analyst: Why team exercised contract option with WGN-Ch. 9

Keith Moreland isn’t returning to the Cubs radio booth. In a note to WGN-AM 720, he said, “After spending three years doing it, I’ve simply decided that I want to spend more time at home in Texas.”

Hard to blame him, considering the Cubs averaged 96 defeats per year during his three seasons in the booth.

However, even though the Cubs are in the dumps, there will be plenty of suitors to be their next radio analyst. It’ll be interesting to see if they go with a former Cub as they did with Moreland or with someone who doesn’t have ties to the team.

Prior to the Cubs deciding on Moreland to replace Ron Santo, who died after the 2010 season, the speculation list included Doug Glanville, Eric Karros, Todd Hollinsworth, Gary Matthews and Mitch Williams. All had a Cubs connection.

Former Cub favorite Mark Grace also was on the list back then. However, his personal issues now make him an unlikely candidate.

If I were to bet, I think the Cubs will make a run at Glanville. The former Cub does a good job at ESPN.

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Earlier today, the Chicago Tribune’s Robert Channick reported the Cubs exercised their option to end their deal with WGN-Ch. 9 after 2014.

Channick wrote:

The Chicago Cubs have exercised an option to get out of their broadcast contract with WGN-TV after the 2014 season, sources close to the situation said Wednesday.

On Tuesday, the team notified the Tribune Co.-owned station it had 30 days to meet a higher assessed fair market value for the broadcast rights, or they would be opened up for negotiation with other media. A third-party consultant hired by the Cubs and WGN-TV determined  the increased valuation, according to sources.

After 30 days, the team would be free to explore other broadcast options for about 70 games televised each season by WGN, opening the door to a potentially more lucrative contract or perhaps its own cable sports network.

The move wasn’t surprise and doesn’t mean the Cubs are ending their association with WGN. Channick writes:

The Cubs get about $20 million to air 70 games each year on WGN. If the team didn’t give notice to opt out at this point in the contract, the deal would run through 2022 at the current rate, and the Cubs would lose any leverage for renegotiating the broadcast rights, according to sources.

In July, I wrote that the Cubs are looking to cash in on the big money that is being spent elsewhere for local TV rights. However, unlike the Los Angeles Dodgers, who will receive a big haul, the Cubs options could be limited.

 

Posted in MLB

Real story about 2013 World Series ratings: Think Mendoza Line for historical lows

Please fellow colleagues,  stop writing that the World Series was a huge success for Fox and Major League Baseball.

The reports talked about how ratings were up 17 percent from 2012 for the Boston-St. Louis series. Fox called it, “A Grand Slam” in a press release, and others ran with it, as if to say all is well with the game.

Well, here is the real story.

Yes, the final rating of 8.9 was up 17 percent from the 7.6 in San Francisco’s sweep over Detroit in 2012. But that series was an all-time low.

The ratings had nowhere to go but up. Not to pick on my old White Sox pal Adam Dunn, but proclaiming a 17-percent ratings increase is much like boasting about him raising his average 45 points from 2011 to 2012. Of course, he went from a horrific .159 to a bit less horrific .204.

Indeed, the recent ratings suggests, like Dunn, baseball is treading along the Mendoza Line.

Baseball now has failed to break double-digit ratings in three of the last four World Series, and it barely got there with a 10 for St. Louis’ victory in seven games over Texas in 2011.

If you’re looking for a recent comparison, go to the Yankees’ six-game triumph over Philadelphia in 2009. That series did an 11.9 rating. The 2013 Series was down 26 percent compared to that number.

And don’t give me that it was the Yankees. The Red Sox also have a massive national appeal. Heck, when they swept Colorado in 2007, the series still did a 10.6 rating; it was a huge 15.8 for their curse-breaking victory over St. Louis in 2004.

Now that 15.8, if not 10.6, seems like a pipe dream. Consider that a compelling six-gamer in 2013 featuring two of baseball’s most storied franchises failed to even pull a 9 rating. It was the fourth-lowest rating of all time.

Privately, I bet Fox and MLB executives had to be disappointed that this series didn’t do at least a 10 rating. Back in the mid-2000s, the number probably would have been closer to 15.

As I wrote earlier in the week, the erosion in the World Series ratings is a recent trend that really began in the mid-2000s. Viewers began to tune out the Fall Classic, and many of them haven’t come back.

How bad has it gotten? Take a look at this passage from Sports Media Watch:

For the fifth time in six years, the World Series was outdrawn by the NBA Finals. The Heat/Spurs series averaged a 9.7 rating and 16.2 million viewers through six games, and a 10.5 and 17.7 million for the full seven. The NBA Finals also averaged a 7.1 rating among adults 18-49.

Keep in mind, the NBA Finals are in June, when fewer people are watching TV. Long gone are the days when the NBA Finals barely registered compared to the World Series. Now it is somewhat of a benchmark.

Indeed, the bar has been lowered significantly when people are celebrating an 8.9 rating for a compelling World Series. That’s the real story here, colleagues.

 

 

 

 

Front page: Joy in Boston; Rest of U.S. celebrates end of long-suffering Red Sox fan theme

Can we finally put it to bed? The long-suffering Red Sox fan theme was so 20th Century. Their fans now are celebrating their third title since 2004. They aren’t suffering anymore.

I’m a fan of baseball history, but Fox beat us over the head with the 1918 thing again last night. Enough.

It all is especially hard to digest in Chicago. Do you know the last time the Cubs or White Sox celebrated a title in their ballpark? It was in 1906, when the Sox beat the Cubs in the World Series. Babe Ruth was 11.

And do I really have to get into the Cubs’ issues?

So congratulations, Boston. And for Fox, ESPN, and everyone else: Time to move on.

Rosenthal on Tim McCarver: A big loss for Fox, baseball

If Boston wins tonight, it’s all over for Tim McCarver. He will have called his last World Series game for Fox Sports, and likely anyone else. If it isn’t tonight, then it will be tomorrow night.

While McCarver says he isn’t retiring, he will be walking away from the big spotlight.

I did my review on McCarver’s career. His record-setting longevity, candor, and critics.

Ken Rosenthal wrote a tribute and an insider’s perspective in a column at Foxsports.com.

Rosenthal writes:

I understand why Tim is leaving. He’s 72. He wants to cut back, enjoy his wine, take cooking classes. He’s not ruling out broadcasting in the future, and I suspect we will see him again soon. But this World Series, his record 24th, likely will be his last. I will miss him personally. I will miss him professionally. And trust me, the loss for Fox — and for baseball — will be big.

Everyone is entitled to an opinion, and a good argument is part of what makes baseball so much fun. But fans who harp on this comment or that from Tim miss the point. Anyone who speaks his mind for more than three hours straight on live television is going to tick off someone, particularly when he sticks around for nearly a quarter-century and works every major event in his sport.

I just wish people could have seen how diligently Tim prepared, not just for postseason games, but every Saturday broadcast. I wish they could have seen how, at 72, his mind was as active, vibrant and curious as a man 50 years younger. I wish they could have seen how open he was to new ideas — and how he welcomed me from the moment I joined the broadcasts in 2006.

On his work ethic:

I’m sure Fox will replace Tim with someone younger, but good luck to that analyst trying to match Tim’s work ethic.

On the morning of a broadcast, Tim calls our producer, Pete Macheska, to discuss ideas; Tim values the opinion of others in helping form his own. He then arrives at the park at least five hours before first pitch, well ahead of Joe and myself. He talks with editorial assistants Wayne Fidelman and Dave Korus, seeking nuggets of information, scrawling tiny notes on the big board that he uses during the broadcast.

He looks at tapes, graphics, packages, considers what he will say in the opening segment of the show. Later we meet with the managers, and by first pitch Tim is like a thoroughbred at the gate, ready to go.

I’ll be honest — the criticism of Tim, particularly the snark on social media, bothers me greatly. I learn from him every broadcast, and his “first-guessing” — offering proactive analysis instead of reactive — has set him apart over the years.

He concludes:

We’re going to miss him, all of us. I tried to tell Tim at the end of every season how much of an honor it is to work with him. He is a treasure, Fox’s treasure, baseball’s treasure. And dammit, I’m not ready for him to say goodbye.

Posted in MLB

Concern for baseball: Bad NFL game still does higher ratings than Game 5 in key male demo

Yes, Game 5 of the World Series did a higher overall rating than the football game Monday night. Baseball pulled an 8.9 rating with 14.4 million viewers on Fox, while Seattle-St. Louis did a 6.7 rating with 10.8 million viewers.

But here’s the rest of story, and how it should concern Major League Baseball.

In men 18-49, the key demographic for advertisers, football ruled with a 6.1 rating compared to 5.2 for baseball.

Traditionally, football does skew to younger viewers. However, the Monday night game was so bad, at least from an offensive standpoint, Jon Gruden was begging for mercy. Also, it was MNF’s lowest-rated game of the year.

Yet among young, and not so young, males, it still beat a pivotal and compelling Game 5 of the World Series. Imagine the numbers if MNF had a Denver and Peyton Manning vs. anybody match-up.

Obviously, this is an indicator that baseball attracts an older audience. The 50-and-over crowd gave the World Series the overall victory in the ratings.

But what happens when that sector fades off into the sunset? It definitely suggests that the erosion in World Series ratings only will get worse in the future.

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Forget hey day of 70s, 80s; Erosion of World Series ratings is a recent trend

My latest column for the National Sports Journalism Center at Indiana University focuses on the World Series ratings. Even a compelling series featuring two of baseball’s marquee teams is far behind the ratings for their last meeting in 2004, a Boston sweep over St. Louis. And the decline isn’t just limited to that year.

Follow the trend.

From the column.

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Usually the way-back machine is brought out whenever there’s a discussion on World Series ratings.

Last week, Keith Olbermann turned the clock back to 1971. In a commentary, he noted 37 million households out of a possible 61 million tuned in to watch Pittsburgh beat Baltimore in Game 7 of the 1971 World Series. That translates to roughly 50 million viewers.

World Series ratings since 2004 (Baseball Almanac)

Of course, the World Series never will see those kind of ratings again. Olbermann noted that if Fox can average an estimated 25.3 million viewers per game (17 million households tuned in) like it did in 2004 for the Boston-St. Louis Series, “Rupert Murdoch will kiss me on the mouth.”

Sorry if I ruined your day with that visual.

Actually, 2004, not 1971, is the better benchmark to assess the erosion in World Series ratings. Back in the early ’70s, there only were three networks. Viewers had fewer choices. It was World Series or “Love American Style.” So naturally, baseball’s ratings would be higher.

OK, if that’s the argument, why has there been such a decline in the ratings since 2004?

Last year, San Francisco’ sweep of Detroit averaged 12.7 million viewers per game, the lowest ever for a World Series. That’s nearly half of Boston’s sweep in 2004.

Through four games this year, a World Series featuring two of baseball’s most storied and appealing franchises has averaged an 8.4 rating at 14 million viewers per game. The overall number should trend higher with a definite Game 6 and a possible Game 7 on the agenda.

However, barring a major upset, it won’t come close to 2004′s numbers.

Unlike the heyday of the 70s, MLB and Fox can’t roll out the argument that the TV landscape was different nine years ago. It wasn’t, since the cable smorgasbord had been in place for years. In other words, the 2004 World Series still registered despite healthy competition from HBO, CNN, ESPN, etc.

In fact, the World Series was considered to be such a ratings powerhouse in 2004, the NFL didn’t even schedule a Sunday night game against it back then.

OK, you say that Red Sox team captivated the country after rallying from a 3-0 deficit to beat the Yankees en route to winning its first World Series title in 86 years? Well, the following year, the White Sox, my team but hardly America’s team, pulled in an average of 17.16 million viewers per night for its sweep of Houston.

Murdoch might not kiss Olbermann if the 2013 series averaged 17.16 million viewers, but he probably would shake his hand.

Since then, only one World Series, the Yankees’ six-game victory over Philadelphia in 2009 (19.4 million viewers), has exceeded 2005. The 2011 World Series, which saw St. Louis win in seven games, averaged 16 million viewers per game. You would expect a higher number since it went the distance.

Consider this: Prior to 2004, the previous nine World Series dating back to 1995 averaged a 15.16 rating (22 million viewers per game). While the presence of the Yankees in six of those World Series definitely helped pull in viewers, it shows ratings in the 15-18 range were considered more of the standard back then in what also was a cable era.

So what caused the erosion in the ratings? There’s enough material to write a book.

In short, a couple of factors come into play. This year marks only the third time in the last 10 World Series it will reach a sixth game. There have been four sweeps and three five-game series. The lone seven-game series was in 2011.

The Series has failed to build on the drama from one year to another, and there’s been a residual effect in a decline in interest.

“We had Boston in 2007 and they won in four straight (over Colorado),” said Fox’s Joe Buck before this year’s World Series. “The ratings went down. You don’t have to be a genius to figure it out.”

There are other reasons, to be sure. However, to me, the mind-numbing pace of games continues to be a big factor in the tune-out. Viewers just don’t have the patience to stay with 5-4 games that last three hours, 54 minutes, as was the case for Game 3. There are so many long pauses and breaks it gives viewers ample reason to reach for the remotes to check out HBO, CNN, AMC, ESPN, etc. You could watch an entire episode of “Homeland” and maybe only miss two innings, if that.

There’s also the issue of the late starting times. Thanks to the endless games, they usually end around midnight on the East coast, past a lot of people’s bedtimes.

Everyone has their theories. However, one thing is clear: You don’t have to go back to the 70s to proclaim that the World Series ain’t what it used to be. It is a recent trend too.

Early turn back the clock: Rare sub 3-hour World Series game

Feel better this morning, baseball fans. Of course, you do.

You got an extra hour of sleep.

Technically, you are supposed to “Fall Back” Sunday morning. The World Series, though, turned back the clocks last night to 1966.

Yes, ladies and gentleman, Game 5 was completed in 2 hours, 52 minutes.

It was the first sub 3-hour game in a World Series since Game 3 of the 2010 World Series: a 4-2 victory for Texas over San Francisco. Many thanks from the team at Sherman Report monitoring baseball’s broken stopwatch.

Wasn’t it nice to watch a game that moved at a decent pace? Good solid pitching by Jon Lester and Adam Wainwright and more hits from David “Mr. 700” Ortiz. My favorite part of this series are the relievers on both teams. Terrific young arms.

Lo and behold, the game actually ended around 11 p.m. ET, 10 p.m. for me in the Central time zone. The early finish even sparked some confusion for baseball fans.

And this from Chicago Cubs TV play-by-play man Len Kasper.

Ah yes, nothing can top the precious gift of time. Appreciate it while you can, baseball fans.

It probably will be three years before we see another sub-three hour World Series game.

 

Posted in MLB

Overnight ratings: Compelling Series game barely beats one-sided NFL game

Commissioner Bud Selig should send a thank you to the Minnesota Vikings for being so terrible.

In overnight ratings of major markets, Game 3 pulled a 10.5 rating on Fox. Meanwhile, the Green Bay-Minnesota game did a 10.3 on NBC. Full ratings will be out later today.

Fox got lucky, or NBC was unlucky, when the Packers pulled away in the second half, seemingly toying with the hapless Vikings. Really, what did football fans do to merit getting  two helpings of Minnesota in primetime in six days?

If the NFL game was good, it likely beats baseball. The Denver-Indianapolis game on Oct. 20 pulled a 17.3 overnight rating.

Selig also should thank the NFL schedule-maker for not placing that game up against the World Series.

More to come.